Fedspeak, the US Supreme Court and US data could challenge the Dollar’s current strength. Aussie and Pound are on divergent paths as respective central banks meet next week. The US Dollar Index (DXY) serves as a benchmark for measuring the relative value of the American dollar to a basket of currencies of the US’s key trading partners.
Supreme Court justices over the legality of reciprocal tariffs introduced during the Trump administration. A ruling against the policy could reduce trade tensions and inflation expectations, further weighing on yields. The US Dollar trims losses on Friday with investors wary of risk following another sell-off on Wall Street, as concerns of an AI bubble remain alive. The USD Index, which measures the value of the Dollar against a basket of peers, is trading at 99.85 in the early European session, up from weekly lows around 99.65. The DXY Index is often used by traders to monitor the value of the USD in comparison to a basket of select currencies in a single transaction.
Technicals
- The support chat was there when I had a tiny issue.
- During market hours, indices are 15 minute delay, ET.
- In theory, the direction of the moving average (higher, lower or flat) indicates the trend of the market.
- The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing the legality of tariffs imposed under the 1977 emergency powers statute.
It also allows them to hedge their bets against any risks with respect to the dollar. When prices are rising they are usually above the average. This is to be expected since the average includes data from the previous, lower priced days. As long as prices remain above the average there is strength in the market. Losses in the dollar were limited on Thursday after stocks fell, which boosted liquidity demand for the dollar.
ICE U.S. Dollar Index .DXY
- The euro holds the most weight versus the dollar in the index, making up about 57.6 per cent of the weighting, followed by the yen with around 13.6 per cent.
- US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) refers to the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States.
- Always stay on top of the latest price developments with our DXY live chart.
- Highlights important summary options statistics to provide a forward looking indication of investors’ sentiment.
- Though widely expected, the BoE’s decision helped preserve yield differentials relative to the dollar, reinforcing selling pressure in the DXY basket.
- Asian tech stocks follow suit, sparking broad market sell-off.
Gold holds gains above the $4,000 mark in the European session on Friday, though it remains below the overnight swing high amid mixed cues. The euro holds the most weight versus the dollar in the index, making up about 57.6 per cent of the weighting, followed by the yen with around 13.6 per cent. The dollar index (DXY00) on Thursday fell by -0.49%. Also, the dollar is still under pressure from the ongoing US government shutdown. The longer the shutdown is maintained, the more likely the US economy will suffer and the more likely the Fed will have to cut interest rates. Risk appetite has not fully enjoyed the treats of a Fed rate cut, strong earnings and trade peace.
Organic demand fuels rally, not just leverage. Germany’s trade surplus shrinks to €15.3bn as imports surge 3.1% vs. 1.4% export gain. HK finfluencer jailed 6 weeks for unlicensed Telegram advice; UK warns of £75M investor losses from rogue promoters. Whether you’re a bull or a bear this week, here’s an options strategy for you. March Euro currency futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.
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Cross-Currency Moves Reinforce Dollar Weakness
With the government shutdown stretching into a 36th day, official figures like Q3 GDP are still MIA. The CBO estimates the shutdown could shave 1–2 percentage points off Q4 growth, with $7 to $14 billion in permanent loss. So far, traders aren’t pricing in that drag — but the risk is out there if the shutdown drags deeper into November. U.S. Dollar Index falls as job cuts surge and Treasury yields drop, raising December Fed rate cut bets.
A really big unknown is how the stock market will fare
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The index’s value is indicative of the dollar’s value in global markets. The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing the legality of tariffs imposed under the 1977 emergency powers statute. A ruling against the administration could unwind a chunk of those duties, impacting trade flows and possibly inflation expectations. It’s not moving markets yet, but it’s worth keeping on the radar. James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.
Highlights important summary options statistics to provide a forward looking indication of investors’ sentiment. The Quote Overview page gives you a snapshot view for a specific index. During market hours, indices are 15 minute delay, ET. New delayed trade updates are updated on the page as indicated by a «flash». The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction. Seasonal & correlation patterns suggest gold could be a steal in November or December.
Results are interpreted as buy, sell or hold signals, each with numeric ratings and summarized with an overall percentage buy or sell rating. After each calculation the program assigns a Buy, Sell, or Hold value with the study, depending on where the price lies in reference to the common interpretation of the study. For example, a price above its moving average is generally considered an upward trend or a buy. The longer this rally holds, the more it’s running on incomplete data.
The Federal Reserve delivered its second consecutive interest rate cut on Wednesday, lowering its benchmark rate by a quarter-point to a range of 3.75% to 4.0%. The move, however, failed to ignite a broad… The dollar index traded in a narrow range, mostly between 97 and 99, in October. The index has been stuck in neutral, but all fiat currencies have continued to lose value over the past month. Select market data provided by ICE Data Services.
EUR/USD struggles below 1.1550 amid USD rebound
Stocks must have traded for the specified time period in order to be considered as a new High or Low. Treasury yields moved lower across the curve as fixed income markets responded to the deteriorating labor outlook. The 10-year yield fell more than 6 basis points to 4.089%, while the 2-year yield dropped to 3.566%. A report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed 153,074 job cuts in October—up 183% from September and the highest October figure since 2003. The data intensified concerns about U.S. economic resilience and increased the likelihood of monetary easing before year-end. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) refers to the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States.
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